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The Case for Miami (or Fort Lauderdale)

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The Miami/Fort Lauderdale metropolitan area is the most populated urban area in the US or Canada without an MLS franchise.

But South Florida actually is a more football savvy market than many in the U.S. That’s why Jamaica, Honduras, Colombia, and Haiti among others consistently play well attended friendlies in either Fort Lauderdale or Miami.  CONCACAF has continued to bring Gold Cup matches to Miami, with this months doubleheader drawing well at FIU Staidum

In February, the Mexico-US  qualifier beat American Idol locally in TV viewership among the key 25-54 year old demographic. So despite the perception among the fans of many MLS clubs that the market is weak, the truth is that it is actually quite strong for the game. This summer, US-Brazil ratings were higher in Miami-Fort Lauderdale than any other media market in the country. West Palm Beach the neighboring market ranked 4th overall. Sunday’s US-Mexico Gold Cup Final won it’s Nielson time slot in the local markets ratings as well.

But Latin fans, who make up the majority of the local supporters are picky. I’ve seen commentary about how South Floridians do or do not support other sports teams in other leagues. But we are comparing apples to oranges. The NFL, NBA and MLB are the top professional leagues on the planet in their respective sports. MLS, is to put it diplomatically a nice domestic league with a set of rules that are odd for World Football and a bunch of players that most Latino fans have never heard of.

Part of the reason MLS did not agree with south Florida when the Fusion were around was because quite honestly the product was completely inferior to what local fans were accustomed to. But it wasn’t just inferiority to Latin or European football but the product was in the mind of many inferior to the beloved NASL which left a permanent imprint on South Florida’s Soccer/Football community.

Fort Lauderdale continued to give decent support to USL, APSL and A-League Strikers from the mid 80s until the mid 90s. But these were minor leagues and the fans knew it. When MLS arrived with much fanfare but the product was only marginally better in many eyes than the non FIFA sanctioned semi professional leagues that the Strikers had participated in, it was difficult for supporters to get excited.

In 2001, this turned around dramatically. Doug Hamilton, perhaps the best General Manager in the history of this league  made his impact. Soccer fans embraced the club like never before but for whatever reason the fickle ownership of Ken Horowitz had colluded with MLS to contract the team.

Attendance for the Miami Fusion has been openly questioned and mocked by many supporters of other clubs. But I would strongly disagree with this based on the realities of the situation which I will outline below.

1998                 10,284 average  11th in league ahead of Kansas City

1999                  8,109 average. 11th in league ahead of Kansas City

2000                  7,460 average. Last in league

2001               11,177 average. Ahead of Kansas City (10th), Tampa Bay (11th) and San Jose (12th)

As the above table demonstrates, Miami’s attendance had actually IMPROVED BY CLOSE TO 4,000 FANS PER MATCH IN THE FINAL SEASON OF THE CLUB, and had surpassed that of three clubs that had larger attendance numbers the prior year. Other clubs such as Dallas, Tampa Bay and Colorado had used Fourth of July fireworks to spike their attendance at large football stadiums that year, so conceivably Miami would have been ranked at least 7th if you simply took soccer specific attendance into consideration. So basically, the ship was headed in the right direction when MLS decided to contract the club.

In many cases these attendance totals are deceiving. New York/New Jersey, New England and San Jose were infamous in the league’s early years of spiking crowd totals thanks to well scheduled double headers. Miami never had this luxury although national team and international events held in south Florida separate from MLS events got similar crowds to those in the aforementioned markets, but unlike those cities, these crowds didn’t count towards the Fusion’s attendance totals.

A key factor in the decline in attendance from 1998 through 2000 was the league’s decision thanks to the Miami Fusion’s own management ineptitude to re-assign Colombian legend Carlos Valderrama from the Fusion to the Tampa Bay Mutiny. This had the affect of distancing the local Colombian population from the team and turning Latin fans off the league which looked amateurish and silly to seasoned football fans. In other parts of the world, a player cannot be moved from one club to another by league decree. Following Valderrama’s departure Miami was compensated by MLS with several players including US National Team star Eric Wynalda, but the damage was done with the ethnic fan base and hard core football fan.

Rules which allowed the movement of players dictated by figures not associated with the club or player himself was completely foreign to the majority of ethnic fans that supported the club initially.

We’ve heard several criticisms of the markets poor performance in USL. But in truth. the awareness of Miami FC is minimal in the area. Traffic Sports, who are massive in towns the team but promotes its other properties with greater gusto and effort.

Those of us in national soccer circles know how big a company Traffic is, and I have a lot of respect for them- but that is part of the issue. I don’t think Traffic spends very much time or money worrying about Miami FC- it’s somewhat like being the 6th or 7th MLS team AEG owned back in the day.

But in fairness to them, I think part of the reason they don’t give it much time is that they simply don’t know what the market is. South Florida is confusing and convoluted and Traffic for all their success elsewhere is just the latest to not figure this region out- no shame in that and thankfully they are still trying with some new and innovative blood in the PR department.

Pieter Brown and the Miami Ultras have been more responsible for getting people to them games than the club itself, which is why with someone like Pieter leading the fans and who has become experienced in marketing a football club to other fans, MLS can work.

No one questions Traffic’s influence in football even with CONCACAF, FIFA and certain elements in the USSF, and in USL. I support Traffic Sports efforts to bring top class football to South Florida- they’ve brought us some good friendlies through the years and Miami FC is finally after a few years really worth watching. Yes, having Romario was a dream, but that was one year and we knew it was for one year. Now they’ve built a decent team

Traffic however is not the issue. As most readers know I support and promote USL. But Miami/Fort Lauderdale is the type of market which views USL in its current form, as a “minor league,” and MLS as an  “emerging league worth watching,” something it was not in 1999 but was in 2001 when despite averaging over 11,000 fans at Lockhart our team was contracted in a very haphazard and unprofessional fashion by MLS.

The South Florida market however is conflicted and contradictory. The TV ratings are high for the EPL, the pubs are all full Saturday mornings, and the Argentine/Brazilian communities cling to their leagues religiously. Locals  also watch the USMNT in greater numbers than other markets so it is not that they don’t relate to the US- it is that they think the domestic leagues aren’t as exciting or important as the US team.

MLS can and will work with the right owner. But it cannot be an owner like Ken Horrowitz that won’t spend money to bring in a quality name player from Latin America. With the DP rule now in existence, Miami goes from being questionable to viable as an MLS market.

From my vantage point, MLS’ biggest problem isn’t the quality of play (which is decent enough), the poor standard of tactical coaching, or attendance (which is actually quite good if not top shelf by any truly objective standard). It is the mere fact that the league struggles on TV. In fact the term, struggles is a massive understatement.

In the last round of expansion MLS embraced two markets with a rich NASL/USL history as well as an amazing sized fan base. But neither is a particularly attractive national TV market. Philadelphia’s inclusion in MLS helps its overall TV profile, but Portland and Vanocuver do little if anything to move the national needle.

MLS’ TV ratings have declined  since the days of the league’s two Florida franchises. In 2000, MLS had more viewers on ESPN than today and more games on network TV than today. Contraction took MLS out of the nation’s 4th most populated state and away from several large TV markets. TV markets ironically enough, that continue to post some of the highest TV ratings for the US National Team’s English language broadcasts (and in the case of the Miami/Fort Lauderdale market a high Spanish ratings as well) while posting average or below average ratings for Major League Soccer.

It is important to note that MLS got higher ratings on ESPN when the league was buying time on the Disney family of networks. Today ESPN pays MLS a rights fee and gets fewer viewers. Even more distressing are reports that Spanish language TV flagship station Univision is reporting a substantial MLS ratings decline on its subsidiary Telefutura this season. Viewership on ESPN Deportes, which is in far fewer homes than Telefutura are up however this season.

Florida has always been logical for the sport. The NASL was a big hit in Fort Lauderdale (Miami Area) and Tampa/St Pete and did reasonably well for a time in Jacksonville. Every successive start up league targeted Florida, whether it was the ASL, the APSL or the USISL. When MLS began play in 1996, Tampa Bay was an original market. Miami/Fort Lauderdale was added in 1998.

It’s also very apparent that US Soccer has a lot invested in Florida: from the targeting of youth clubs in the US Development Academy setup, to the USSF Bradenton Academy.  Of the about 70 club teams in the USSF Youth Development Academy, six are in Florida. Additionally, Florida provides many of the players that are in the US player pool at all level both youth and full national team. Additionally, youth soccer is massive in the state encompassing all demographic groups.

Ethnic populations of both Latins and Caribbean Islanders are well represented in Florida, and that is why despite not having an MLS team for eight years and having four full seasons without any professional football, Florida continued to attract high profile international friendlies. Additionally, Miami is the only city that has hosted at least one match in each of the past seven Gold Cup tournaments. The Gold Cup is marketed by SUM and they keep returning to Miami, time and time again despite the perceived failure of the market in MLS.

Tampa Bay was contracted in 2001 largely due to stadium and ownership issues. That year the Mutiny was among the worst teams in MLS history, and struggled at the gate. However, in the clubs first five MLS seasons, attendance and results were respectable even if playing in a large football stadium was not.

Attendance in USL cannot be used as a predictor as to MLS success. Toronto and Seattle lagged towards the middle or even the bottom in USL-1 attendance. But promotion to MLS has seen both markets hit home runs for MLS. At the same time markets such as Rochester and Charleston consistently outdrew Seattle and Toronto in USL-01. But nobody realistically has suggested them for MLS in the last several years. (Rochester, recall was a prime MLS expansion candidate in the late 90s and did have a decent following for the NASL.)

In fact while attendance is poor for Baseball’s Florida Marlins, its local TV numbers are in the top half for MLB. Chances are a renewed MLS team in Miami may lag in attendance but not in local TV viewership or interest.

As evidenced by the TV ratings for USMNT matches and the turnout for the Gold Cup every two years, Miami/Fort Lauderdale remains a very viable football market despite the perceived failure of the Fusion and struggles of Miami FC in USL-1. In fact the Fusion as with the Tampa Bay Mutiny were contracted more due to ownership and stadium issues than anything else.

Contrary to the rhetoric of some around the country, the case for Miami’s return to MLS is strong. Now it up to the fans of South Florida to help make it happen.

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Miami MLS Drive

Our sister site Mad About Futbol and our good friends at Miami Soccer Fan have begun a drive to return MLS to Miami. As I have articulated on MLS Talk repeatedly, the television ratings for the Miami-Fort Lauderdale market for the USMNT justify MLS taking a serious look at this market again, even if ticket sales slump. MLS has a major TV problem with ratings worse than Softball, Bowling and Poker. The Miami-Fort Lauderdale TV market however finished 1st in the Nielson ratings for the US-Brazil game, 3rd for both US-Mexico games this year and 4th for the US-Spain game.

The spin by those who do not want a return to the market it quite frankly short sighted- if attendance was the sole determining factor of a league’s viability and media penetration, MLS would be the second biggest league in the US behind the NFL (after all MLS games are more full than NBA, NHL or MLB games on average with a higher percentage of seats actually filled) and the league would also be one of the most visible footballing leagues on the planet because on average MLS has more fans in seats than Serie A, La Liga or Ligue 1. But this is simply not the case- TV matters more than ever and on that score MLS is a huge failure.

Please join the pledge drive for MLS Miami at http://www.miamisoccerfan.com/Soccer/Tickets.html

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Mexican Squad for Azteca vs USA: Thoughts

KEEPERS

Francisco Guillermo Ochoa Magaña | América

José de Jesús Corona Rodríguez | Cruz Azul

DEFENSE

Efraín Juárez Valdez | UNAM José Antonio

Castro González | Tigres

Rafael Márquez Álvarez | Barcelona

José Jonny Magallón Oliva | Guadalajara

Ricardo Osorio Mendoza | Stuttgart

Aarón Galindo Rubio | Guadalajara

Carlos Arnoldo Salcido Flores | PSV Eindhoven

Oscar Adrián Rojas Castillon | América

MIDS

Gerardo Torrado Diez de Bonilla | Cruz Azul

Israel Castro Macías | UNAM

José Andrés Guardado Hernández | La Coruña

Cuauhtémoc Blanco Bravo | Chicago Fire

STRIKERS

Alberto Medina Briseño – Guadalajara

Giovani Dos Santos Ramírez – Tottenham

Nery Alberto Castillo Confalonieri – Shakhtar

Carlos Alberto Vela Garrido – Arsenal

Miguel Sabah Rodríguez – Monarcas

Guillermo Luis Franco – NO CLUB

This  squad is much more formidable than the squad the US lost 5-0 the other day. But Aguirre has buckled to some of the pressure to select members of the Gold Cup squad for this match, but has reinforced the side by dropping many of weaker Gold Cup links and bringing in a cast of impressive European based players.

Osvaldo Sanchez and Oscar Perez have finally been replaced as the #1 keeper by Memo Ochoa. Rafa Marquez is not healthy enough to make the squad but Aguirre surprisingly did not keep Fausto Pinto who had a strong Gold Cup in the squad.

The midfield will be led by the young and talented Andreas Guardado who scored versus the US in 2007. Up front, the squad is scary talented and strong which will test the American defense.

More later…..

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Kartik Report Gold Cup XI

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GK:

Keilor Navas, Costa Rica

DEF:

Mike Klukowski, Canada

Fausto Pinto, Mexico

Luis Moreno, Panama

MID:

Kyle Beckerman, United States

Julian DeGuzman, Canada

Gerrado Torrado, Mexico

Gio Dos Santos, Mexico

Stuart Holden, United States

FWD:

Miguel Sabah, Mexico

Blas Perez, Panama

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US 0-5 Mexico: Breaking Down the Debacle

The US Men’s National Team suffered its worst loss since 1979 and it’s worst competitive loss since 1957 in a shocking Gold Cup Final. Sure this was a US”B” team or worse, but this is not exactly the Mexican team we will see at Azteca either.

Here are some good postmatch reads

SOUCIE ON SOCCER: CONCACAF OFFICIATING BIAS NEEDS TO STOP

THE THIRD HALF: USA 0-5 MEX 45 MINUTES OF HELL

JAMIE TRECKER

MATCH FIT USA

MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER TALK USA 0-5 MEXICO: EL TRI TRIUMPHS AFTER POOR TOURNAMENT

AP STORY

BERKLEY SPORTS BLOG

MORE COMING…..

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Minnesota Thunder 1-2 Miami FC: Blues Impress on National TV

Miami FC played perhaps their best road match of the season last night at the National Sports Center in Minnesota. The game was broadcast live nationally on FOX Soccer Channel, the first Miami FC game in three months on national TV and the first Minnesota home game in five years on national tv.

Paulo Jr. scored twice on the counter attack and until the last 20 minutes, the Blues snuffed out any good chance for the Thunder to win 2-1. While Minnesota controlled possession for much of the game, the Blues deployed an effective and deadly counter attack which netted two goals and several other half chances.

I’ll have much more on this game and particularly on Paulo Jr., either later today or after tomorrow’s Gold Cup Final.

Here are some other post match stories:

INSIDE MINNESOTA SOCCER

USL SOCCER.COM

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Friday Links: PDL, Tom Glick and US-Mex

Apologies, that I have not been doing daily links for a while. In the midst of the USMNT’s busy summer, I have dropped most coverage of club football on this site. Today however, I have several links back to my primary site, Major League Soccer Talk.

USL PDL IN THE SPOTLIGHT

A CONVERSATION WITH DERBY COUNTY CHAIRMAN TOM GLICK

DANIEL FEUERSTEIN: BOB BRADLEY HAS BEEN THE RIGHT CHOICE

HONDURAS 0-2 HONDURAS: YOUNG YANKS HEAD TO FINAL

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Gold Cup Nightly: Semifinals

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Under Hugo Sanchez, Guille Franco was frozen out of the national team. His crime? Being born in Argentina. But under Sven Goran Eriksson and Javier Aguirre the classy Villarreal attacker has found his way back into the El Tri setup.

But tonight in Chicago, Franco made all the difference as Mexico advanced to the Gold Cup finals. Scoring a goal and hitting the critical first penalty in the shootout, Franco can rightfully claim credit for Mexico’s win.

Costa Rica got many chances in the second half off the counter, but struggled to convert several golden chances. Guille Franco and Carlos Vela two super skilled European based players were inserted late for Mexico and they made all the difference. Franco’s 89th minute goal appeared to be the winner for El Tri. Keilor Navas had played an unbelievable game in between the pipes for the Ticos to that point but was hung out to dry on Franco’s goal by poor marking.

In the last minute of stoppage time, Mexico’s defenders strangely pushed up into midfield allowing a desperate long ball to find Froylan Ledezma who calmly despite the situation beat Memo Ochoa and thus we have extra time.

Costa Rica started the game  very well.  Andy Herron set up Alvaro Soborio well but it was cleared just in time for a corner. Then minutes later the Ticos hit the post and the rebound goes just wide with Guille Ochoa hopelessly out of position.

Right before halftime Gio Dos Santos missed an open net with a shot that went just wide of the far post. But in the second half, Mexico began to maintain possession while Costa Rica got some good counter attacking opportunities.

Mexico has to be considered the favorite in the final. If this Mexican team featuring the likes of Vela, Dos Santos, and Franco in the attack cannot beat a US team featuring the likes of Jay Heaps in defense and Troy Perkins in Goal, El Tri may never again beat the USA outside of Azteca.

Honduras 0-2 USA

MLS Talk Postgame

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USL-1: A League of “Left Overs?”

Walter_Ramirez

As most readers of this site know, I have recently been used as a color commentator on some USL-1 matches hosted by Miami FC for USL Live.  USL-1 is a league I support, and enjoy. If I didn’t support it, I wouldn’t constantly defend the league from MLS snobs who tend to ignore the other tiers of soccer in this country and if I didn’t enjoy the product I would have stopped going to games long ago.

But I must admit the MLS-centric commentators have made me think a little bit. Duane Rollins of the 24th Minute in Canada is a fantastic soccer writer. In Canada, the view has often been articulated that the A-League/USL-1 is the better league when compared with MLS. Duane, perhaps because he’s in Toronto has been overly defensive of MLS in the past. I have often disagreed with some of his arguments, but more recently he’s made me think about things in a little more depth.Then we have the very troubling news from Minnesota, reported and explained by our friend Brian Quarstad of Inside Minnesota Soccer.

The Thunder have a proud tradition of success in the A-League and now USL-1. But their continued troubles tell me something is very wrong with USL-1 right now. Additionally, Match Fit USA recently ran a piece about using USL as a “farm system” for MLS. I explained in the comments that this had been tried ten years ago and the deal between the two leagues didn’t work. Since that time the A-League and D-3 leagues (now USL-1 and USL-2) have struggled in many markets, while the PDL has become the gem of American soccer developing and producing talent that borders on world class.

The Puerto Rico Islanders in particular have a fantastic program, they are able to cherry pick players from around the Caribbean, since USL has no foreign player limits. They also, thanks to two successive CONCACAF Champions League appearances are in a position to outbid other USL-1 teams for the services of cast offs from MLS clubs. But the rest of USL-1 has become since the breakdown of the partnership with MLS, a league of “left overs.”

Yesterday, the Rochester Rhinos became the latest USL-1 team to be defeated in a key Open Cup match by an MLS team. The game was close with the Rhinos perhaps leaving unlucky losers. But to me the storyline was that Rochester was undone by a PDL and USL-2 product Boyzzz Khumalo, who scored the winning goal. (Khumalo did spend a short stint in the A-League but spent far more time in USL-2 and the PDL)

It is certainly true that many USL-1 players are better than the counterparts they were waived for in MLS. But that is because they are older and take up a larger salary slot under MLS’ tough cap rules. As I wrote today on Major League Soccer Talk when discussing some of these same issues:

Some of these left overs tend to be better than what is left in MLS thanks to a salary cap that squeezes guys in the middle of a payroll while keeping developmental players in the league.

Long term, this is a good thing for the US system because the developmental guys may actually bloom into national team prospects for the USA, while the mid range guys fit the category of journeymen players.

So essentially USL-1 is a league of journeymen players. How much of a journeyman league is it? If you look at European rosters for players who once played in the US the breakdown is somewhat like this: I quickly estimated by going thru all the Yanks Abroad in Wikipedia and looking at where the played previously.  My percentages could be slightly off, but they are not wildly off

MLS alone- 50%
USL 1 alone 2%
USL 2 alone 2%
PDL alone- 20%
USL-2 and MLS 7%
USL 1 and MLS 2%
PDL and MLS 15%
PDL and USL-1 1%
PDL and USL-2 1%

My numbers are rough and I could be somewhat off, but basically 74% of players who go to Europe by my estimate play in MLS at some point, while 37% again estimated played in the PDL at some point. USL-2 even has 10%. It is USL-1 which is higher on the pyramid than USL-2 and PDL that have the fewest players going to Europe at any point, with just about 5%. So from a development standpoint, the 2nd tier league is the least useful in the top 4 tiers. Now, of course player development cannot just be measure by who plays in Europe, but that was one quick way for me to compare.

So, clearly USL as a league is doing a fine job:  Half or slightly more than half the American players that end up in Europe play in the USL at some point. But the vast majority of them never play in the top USL league, the league that has teams in big markets and the league that has all its games either on Cable TV or free Broadband.

Going forward, a decision has to be made about the former A-League, now known as USL-1. The division be more agresssive in its marketing and more competitive in signing and developing players. Otherwise, the league may be useless in time: the bigger markest get absorbed by MLS, the smaller markets by USL-2 (if they are in the east or midwest).

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Bundesliga to ESPN: Game Changer?

We’re told American “soccer” fans love the Premier League. Why? Presumably the common language and ties to the old country.The Premier League or the mid to late 1990s was exciting stuff, with back and forth play coupled with lots of goals. Today the Premier League has a clear tier system and lower tier teams will hardly ever play higher tier teams straight up. English Football fans are rediscovering the lower leagues in droves thanks to this negative tactical setup.

I personally think the German Bundesliga, once a great bore has emerged as Europe’s most watchable league on TV. The Bundesliga features end to end football with some very poor defending at times, but also a great level of skill.

Yesterday, the NY Times reported that ESPN has acquired some Bundesliga games for the next three seasons via sub license with GOLTV. This is outstanding news, as German football is probably more attractive to the average American sports fan than any other league in the world. Packed large stadiums, vibrent colors and attacking football equal a winner. La Liga may have all the star power while the Premier League dominates the English language press, but now the Bundesliga has its own trump card.

If ESPN were wise, they’d try and sell the German League to mainstream sports fans in a more aggressive fashion than La Liga. Sure Spain has Kaka, Messi and Ronaldo, but Germany has packed stadiums (ala American College Football) and more goals than other league. The league is also more competitive resembling American sports, where champions or championship contenders are not pre ordained.

ESPN’s marketing of the Bundesliga will be interesting. Since the emergence of the English league early this decade, the previous “big five or six” in Europe has become a “big three” with the Bundesliga often out of thje discussion. ESPN in the United States can help reshape that discussion and also allow new fans to find the sport.

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